Rating Rationale
November 22, 2024 | Mumbai
 
India Universal Trust AL2
(Originator: HDFC Bank Limited)
‘Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)’ assigned to Series A1, Series A2 and Series A3 PTCs; ‘Provisional CRISIL BBB+ (SO) Equivalent’ assigned to Second loss facility
 
Rating Action
Trust Name Instrument Amount Rated (Rs.Crore)

Tenure
(In Months)#

Credit Collateral (Rs.Crore) Ratings/Credit Opinions@ Rating Action
India Universal Trust AL2 Series A1 PTCs 4500.0 24 581.48 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)

Provisional Rating Assigned

Series A2 PTCs 4000.0 36 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)
Series A3 PTCs 3871.90 72 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)
Second loss facility 334.04 72 247.44 Provisional CRISIL BBB+ (SO) Equivalent
Note: None of the Directors on CRISIL Ratings Limited’s Board are members of rating committee and thus do not participate in discussion or assignment of any ratings. The Board of Directors also does not discuss any ratings at its meetings.
1 crore = 10 million
Refer to annexure for Details of Instruments & Bank Facilities
#Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option
@ A prefix of 'Provisional' indicates that the rating centrally factors in the strength of specific structures and is contingent upon occurrence of certain steps or execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable, without which the rating would either have been different or not assigned ab initio. This is in compliance with a May 6, 2015 directive ‘Standardizing the term, rating symbol, and manner of disclosure with regards to conditional/ provisional/ in-principle ratings assigned by credit rating agencies' by Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) and April 27, 2021 circular ‘Standardizing and Strengthening Policies on Provisional Rating by Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) for Debt Instruments’ by SEBI.

 

Detailed Rationale

CRISIL Ratings has assigned its ‘Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)’ rating to Series A1, Series A2 and Series A3 pass-through certificates (PTCs), issued by ‘India Universal Trust AL2’ under a securitisation transaction originated by HDFC Bank Limited (HDFC Bank: rated 'CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'), backed by a pool of new car loan receivables. The second loss facility under this transaction has been assigned a credit opinion of ‘Provisional CRISIL BBB+ (SO) Equivalent’.

 

The ratings are based on credit quality of the pool backing the transaction, the origination and servicing capabilities of HDFC Bank, credit support available to the PTCs, payment mechanism for the transaction, and soundness of the transaction’s legal structure.

 

The transaction has a ‘par with flow-back excess interest spread (EIS)’ structure, wherein the trust settled by a trustee will issue Series A1 PTCs, Series A2 PTCs and Series A3 PTCs in exchange for a purchase consideration equal to 36.37%, 32.33% and 31.30% of the pool principal at the time of securitisation, respectively. The PTC holders are promised timely interest and timely principal payments on a monthly basis. Interest payments to PTC tranches are paid on pari-passu basis, at their respective yields.

 

Till Series A1 PTCs are outstanding, the scheduled principal amortisation of the pool along with principal prepayments for the month shall be split between the Series A1 PTCs, Series A2 PTCs and Series A3 PTCs in the proportion of 70%:25%:5%, respectively. On the date when Series A1 PTCs are fully redeemed, the remaining principal after redeeming Series A1 PTCs (which would have otherwise been utilised for payment of scheduled Series A1 Principal), is split in the proportion 90%:10% among Series A2 PTCs and Series A3 PTCs, respectively.

 

Once Series A1 PTCs is paid in full and until Series A2 PTCs and Series A3 PTCs are outstanding, the scheduled principal amortisation of the pool along with principal prepayments for the month shall be split between Series A2 PTCs and Series A3 PTCs in the proportion of 90%:10%, respectively. Once Series A1 PTCs and Series A2 PTCs are repaid in full, the pool principal amortisation amount along with prepayments for the month (100%) shall be paid with respect to Series A3 PTCs.

 

Investor payouts for PTCs are supported by cash collateral and subordination of excess interest spread (EIS). HDFC Bank will continue to service loan contracts in the pool as the servicing agent.

 

The total credit enhancement available in the transaction (internal – in the form of EIS; and external – in the form of cash collateral) provide loss absorption against stressed shortfalls in the pool, is commensurate with the rating assigned to the PTCs.

Key Rating Drivers & Detailed Description

Strengths:

  • Credit support available in the structure
  • Credit collateral of Rs 581.48 crore (4.7% of the pool principal) provides credit support to PTCs. The PTCs also benefit from scheduled excess interest spread aggregating Rs 229.41 crore (1.85% of pool principal).
  • Seasoning profile of contracts in the pool
  • The contracts in the pool are current and have a weighted average seasoning (number of instalments paid) of 17.5, and consequently, the pool has amortised by 27.4% as of the cut-off date of 31st October 2024

 

Weaknesses:

  • Potential effect of macroeconomic headwinds
  • Borrowers in the underlying pool could come under pressure due to a challenging macroeconomic environment. Moderation in demand on account of inflation and geo-political uncertainties can lead to volatilities in cashflow generation capability of the borrowers. These factors may hamper pool collection ratios.
  • Higher LTV contracts in pool
  • Contracts accounting for 42.7% of pool principal are from contracts with LTV > 90%. In case of repossession of asset, losses can be higher for such high LTV loans. However, asset quality performance of higher LTV loans has been stable in HDFC Bank’s portfolio.

 

These aspects have been adequately factored in its rating analysis by CRISIL Ratings.

Liquidity: Strong

Liquidity is strong given that the credit enhancement available in the structure is sufficient to cover losses exceeding 1.5 times the base case shortfalls in the pool.

Rating Sensitivity factors

Upward factors:

  • For Series A1 PTCs, Series A2 PTCs & Series A3 PTCs:
  • None
  • For Second loss facility:
  • Healthy collections performance of higher than 99.5% leading to credit cover building up. 

 

Downward factors:

  • For Series A1 PTCs, Series A2 PTCs, Series A3 PTCs & Second loss facility:
  • Weaker collection efficiency than expected for a considerable period on sustained basis, i.e. lower than 98%, leading to depletion of credit cover available to PTC holders
  • A sharp downgrade in the rating of the servicer/originator.
  • Non-adherence to the key transaction terms envisaged at the time of the rating.

 

About the pool

The pool securitised comprises new car loan receivables. The pool has weighted average net seasoning of 17.5 (number of instalments paid). The pool has moderate geographic concentration with top three states accounting for 42.7% of pool principal. Average ticket size is Rs 9.32 lakh with weighted average interest rate of 8.9%. All the contracts in the pool were current as on pool cut-off date (October 31st, 2024). CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored all these aspects in its rating analysis.

 

Additional disclosures for Provisional ratings:

For assigning the provisional rating, CRISIL Ratings has considered the provisional rating to be contingent upon execution of following documents:

 

Executed documents:

  • Trust Deed
  • Deed of Assignment
  • Servicing Agreement
  • Credit enhancement agreement
  • Power of Attorney

 

Other documents:

  • Information Memorandum
  • Legal opinion
  • Auditor’s certificate(s)
  • Trustee letter
  • Originator’s Representations and Warranties letter

 

Additional documents, if any, executed for a transaction shall also be provided along with the above said documents.

 

The provisional rating shall be converted into a final rating following receipt of transaction documents duly executed and/or confirmations on completion of pending steps within 90 days from the date of issuance of the instrument. The final rating assigned after the end of 90 days (or following an extension of upto 90 days, if any, granted by the rating committee of CRISIL Ratings after considering case specific considerations) shall be consistent with the available documents.

 

The final rating assigned post conversion shall be consistent with the available documents. In case of non-receipt of the duly executed transaction documents within the above-mentioned timelines, the rating committee of CRISIL Ratings may grant an extension of up to another 90 days.

 

Rating that would have been assigned in absence of the pending documentation: In the absence of documentation considered while assigning provisional rating as mentioned above, CRISIL Ratings would not have assigned any rating.

 

Risks associated with provisional nature of credit rating:

A prefix of 'Provisional' to the rating symbol indicates that the rating is contingent upon execution of certain documents by the issuer, as applicable. In case the documents received deviates significantly from the expectations, CRISIL Ratings may take an appropriate action including placing the rating on watch or a rating change on a case-to-case basis. In the absence of the pending documentation, the rating on the instrument would either have been different or not assigned ab initio.

 

Rating Assumptions

To assess the base case shortfalls for the transaction, CRISIL Ratings has analysed moving portfolio delinquency  movement, monthly portfolio collections and static pool information (with information on 90+ delinquencies) for new car loan portfolio provided by HDFC Bank for originations in the period Q1FY19 to Q4FY24 with performance as of September 2024. The 90-180 dpd for the HDFC Bank car loan portfolio is 0.26% as of September 2024.

 

CRISIL Ratings has also factored in pool specific characteristics and estimated the base case shortfalls in the pool in the range of 1.0% to 1.8% of pool cash flows.

 

  • CRISIL Ratings has assumed a stressed monthly prepayment rate of 0.3% to 0.5% in its analysis.
  • Based on the short-term rating of servicer ‘CRISIL A1+’, CRISIL Ratings does not any risk arising out of commingling of cash flows.
  • CRISIL Ratings has adequately factored in the risks arising on account of counterparties (refer to counterparty details below)
  • CRISIL Ratings has run sensitivities based on various shortfall curves (front-ended, back-ended and normal) and has adequately factored the same in its analysis.

 


Counterparty details

Capacity

Counterparty

Rating

Effect on PTC ratings in case of non- performance

Originator and seller

HDFC Bank

'CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'

No effect.

Servicer

HDFC Bank

'CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'

Significant effect, because of change in servicing quality and replacement cost of servicer. However, currently CRISIL Ratings does not envisage the need for replacement. The trustee, on behalf of the investors, shall retain the right to nominate an alternate collection agent in case of a “Servicer Event of Default”, linked to insolvency of the servicer or breach of any transaction terms.

Collection and Payout Account Bank

HDFC Bank

'CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'

Negligible effect. The trustee, on behalf of the investors, has the right to change the collection and payout account bank if needed.

First loss facility in the form of cash in current account in the name of trustee

HDFC Bank

'CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'

Negligible effect. Based on triggers captured in the relevant documentation, the trustee, on behalf of the investors, has the right to change the bank with whom the cash collateral is maintained if needed.

Second loss facility in the form of cash in current account in the name of trustee

HDFC Bank

'CRISIL AAA/Stable/CRISIL AA+/Stable/CRISIL A1+'

Negligible effect. Based on triggers captured in the relevant documentation, the trustee, on behalf of the investors, has the right to change the bank with whom the cash collateral is maintained if needed.

Trustee

Catalyst Trusteeship Limited

Not rated by CRISIL Ratings

Negligible effect. The trustee can be replaced by the investor if needed.

 

About the originator

Incorporated in 1995, HDFC Bank offers a wide range of banking services, including commercial and transactional banking in the wholesale segment, and branch banking in the retail segment, with focus on mortgage loans, car finance, business banking loans, commercial vehicle finance, credit cards, and personal loans. The bank acquired Centurion Bank of Punjab in May 2008. It has four overseas branches, one each in Bahrain, Kenya, Qatar and UAE, as well as three representative offices, one each in the Dubai, London and Singapore. Further, the bank also has an Offshore Banking Unit at International Financial Service Centre (IFSC), at GIFT City, Gandhinagar in Gujarat.

 

Key Financial Indicators

As on/For the period ended March 31,

Unit

Standalone

Consolidated

2024

2024

2024

2023

Total assets

Rs Crore

36,17,623

24,66,081

40,30,194

25,30,432

Total income (net of interest expense)

Rs Crore

1,57,773

1,18,057

2,53,856

1,26,886

PAT

Rs Crore

60,812

44,109

65,447

46,149

Gross NPA

%

1.24

1.12

NA

NA

Overall CAR

%

18.8

19.3

NA

NA

RoA

%

2.0

1.9

2.00

1.98

Any other information: Not Applicable

Note on complexity levels of the rated instrument:
CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels are assigned to various types of financial instruments and are included (where applicable) in the 'Annexure - Details of Instrument' in this Rating Rationale.

CRISIL Ratings will disclose complexity level for all securities - including those that are yet to be placed - based on available information. The complexity level for instruments may be updated, where required, in the rating rationale published subsequent to the issuance of the instrument when details on such features are available.

For more details on the CRISIL Ratings` complexity levels please visit www.crisilratings.com. Users may also call the Customer Service Helpdesk with queries on specific instruments.

Annexure - Details of Instrument(s)

ISIN** Type of
Instrument
Rated Amount
(Rs.Crore)
Date of
 Allotment
Maturity
Date&
Coupon
Rate (%)
Complexity
Level
Outstanding
Rating
Cash collateral*
(Rs.Crore)
NA Series A1 PTCs 4500 25-Nov-24 20-Nov-26 8.01% p.a.p.m Highly Complex Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO) 581.48
NA Series A2 PTCs 4000 25-Nov-24 20-Nov-27 8.07% p.a.p.m Highly Complex Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO) 581.48
NA Series A3 PTCs 3871.9 25-Nov-24 20-Nov-30 8.15% p.a.p.m Highly Complex Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO) 581.48
NA Second Loss Facility 334.04 25-Nov-24 20-Nov-30 Not Applicable Highly Complex Provisional CRISIL BBB+ (SO) Equivalent 247.44

**Instrument yet to issued

&Indicates door to door tenure. Actual tenure will depend on the level of prepayments in the pool, and exercise of the clean-up call option

*Additional credit support includes Rs. 229.41 crore in form of scheduled cash flow subordination (assuming zero prepayments)

Annexure - Rating History for last 3 Years
  Current 2024 (History) 2023  2022  2021  Start of 2021
Instrument Type Outstanding Amount Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Date Rating Rating
Series A1 PTCs LT 4500.0 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
Series A2 PTCs LT 4000.0 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
Series A3 PTCs LT 3871.9 Provisional CRISIL AAA (SO)   --   --   --   -- --
Second loss facility LT 334.04 Provisional CRISIL BBB+ (SO) Equivalent   --   --   --   -- --
All amounts are in Rs.Cr.
Criteria Details
Links to related criteria
CRISILs rating methodology for ABS transactions
Evaluating risks in securitisation transactions - A primer
Meaning and applicability of SO and CE symbol

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